The ISC presents its final webinar in a six-part series on COVID and the Social Sciences, Public Understanding and Use of Statistics in Relation to the Pandemic.
The series explores the impact of the social sciences on the pandemic and the impact of the pandemic on the social sciences. In six episodes, the series covers Economics, Psychology, Sociology, Political Science, Anthropology, and now Statistics.
The focus of this episode is on how statistics are analyzed, represented, and understood. The webinar will address the following two questions:
- How effective were statistics in informing citizens and policy makers in thinking about the pandemic and in formulating responses to the pandemic?
- How has the pandemic impacted developments within statistics and the communication of statistics to citizens and policy makers?
Watch the recording:
(Times refer to UTC)
Start times: London: 15:00 | Paris 16:00 | Nairobi: 17:00 | Delhi 19:30 | New York 10:00
|14:00 – 14:05||Welcome and Introduction to the Chair by Stephen Penneck, President of the International Statistical Institute|
|14:05 – 14:10||Introduction to the topic by Craig Calhoun|
|14:10 – 14:45||Keynote lecture by David Spiegelhalter|
|14:45 – 15:05||Comments from the discussants|
|15:05 – 15:20||Further Discussion, Q&A|
|15:20 – 15:25||Closing remarks|
David Spiegelhalter, Keynote speaker
Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at the University of Cambridge, which aims to improve the way that statistical evidence is used by health professionals, patients, lawyers and judges, media and policy-makers. He has been very busy over the Covid crisis. His bestselling book, The Art of Statistics, was published in March 2019, and Covid by Numbers came out in October 2021.
He was knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics, was President of the Royal Statistical Society (2017-2018), and became a Non-Executive Director of the UK Statistics Authority in 2020.
Stephen Penneck, Welcome and Introduction of the Chair
Stephen Penneck is President of the International Statistical Institute. He is from the UK, based in London, and was recently Honorary Officer for Official Statistics at the Royal Statistical Society, where he is a Fellow and a Chartered Statistician.
Stephen retired in 2012 as Director General at the UK’s Office for National Statistics, following a career in official statistics.
Since retirement, Stephen has published articles and given lectures on a range of topics in official statistics including economic statistics, open data, and governance, trust and ethics; contributed to ISI workshops and regional conferences; and organised sessions at recent IAOS conferences and World Statistics Congresses.
Craig Calhoun, Chair
Craig Calhoun is University Professor of Social Sciences at Arizona State University. Previously, he was Director of the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), President of the Berggruen Institute, and President of the Social Science Research Council. His publications address politics, economics, the impact of technology, and social change.
Kerrie Mengersen, Discussant
Kerrie Mengersen is a Distinguished Professor in Statistics at the Queensland University of Technology and Director of the QUT Centre for Data Science. She is an elected Fellow of the Australian Academy of Science and the Academy of Social Sciences of Australia. Kerrie is currently a Vice-President of the ISI and leads the Public Voice portfolio. She is involved in national and international projects related to the covid-19 pandemic, particularly with respect to analysis of global patterns of infection, impacts of travel restrictions, and comparative benefits of vaccination. A key component of this work is the translation of statistical insights to the public.
Harpreet Singh, Discussant
Harpreet Singh is a computational biologist with experience in Data Management, Machine Learning, NGS data analysis and Research Management. He did his Ph.D. in Bioinformatics from Jawaharlal Nehru University and a postdoc in NGS Data Analysis from Cornell University, USA. He heads the Division of Biomedical Informatics at the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) and ICMR-AIIMS Computational Genomics Centre. In addition, he is an Adjunct Faculty at the Jawaharlal Nehru University and an honorary Research Advisor at the Department of Informatics, University of Oslo, Norway. Currently, Singh is working on organizing Data Systems at ICMR and developing an integrated research platform. Singh’s team has developed data systems for 23 major programs of ICMR and Ministry including National COVID 19 testing database, which currently holds testing data of 800 million individuals. Singh has published 116 research papers, 14 book chapters, and 17 copyrights of the developed software/programs.
Ellen Peters, Discussant
Dr. Ellen Peters is the Philip H. Knight Chair and Director of the Center for Science Communication Research at the University of Oregon. She studies the basic building blocks of human judgment and decision making and their links with effective communication techniques. She is particularly interested in how affective, intuitive, and deliberative processes help people perceive risks and make decisions. She has published more than 160 peer-reviewed papers in outlets such as PNAS, JAMA, Annual Review of Public Health, Psychological Science, and Nature Climate Change. She also authored the book Innumeracy in the Wild: Misunderstanding and Misusing Numbers, published by Oxford University Press. She is former President of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making and a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), Association for Psychological Science (APS), the American Psychological Association (APA), and the Society for Experimental Social Psychology (SESP). She has worked extensively with federal agencies to advance decision and communication sciences in health and health policy, including being Chair of FDA’s Risk Communication Advisory Committee and member of the NAS’s Science of Science Communication committee. She has received an NIH Group Merit Award and was the first American to win the Jane Beattie Scientific Recognition Award. She has received extensive funding from the National Science Foundation and National Institutes of Health.
👉 List of related resources
- Abramowitz, Sharon. “Epidemics (Especially Ebola).” Annual Review of Anthropology 46, no. 1 (2017/10/23 2017): 421-45.
- Academies, National. Strategies for Building Confidence in the Covid-19 Vaccines. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press, 2021. doi:10.17226/26068.
- Adolph, Christopher, Kenya Amano, Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, and John Wilkerson. “Pandemic Politics: Timing State-Level Social Distancing Responses to Covid-19.” Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law 46, no. 2 (2021): 211-33.
- Algan, Yann, Daniel Cohen, Eva Davoine, Martial Foucault, and Stefanie Stantcheva. “Trust in Scientists in Times of Pandemic: Panel Evidence from 12 Countries.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118, no. 40 (2021): e2108576118.
- Atchison, Christina, Leigh Robert Bowman, Charlotte Vrinten, Rozlyn Redd, Philippa Pristerà, Jeffrey Eaton, and Helen Ward. “Early Perceptions and Behavioural Responses During the Covid-19 Pandemic: A Cross-Sectional Survey of Uk Adults.” BMJ Open 11, no. 1 (2021): e043577.
- Brilliant, Larry. Sometimes Brilliant: The Impossible Adventure of a Spiritual Seeker and Visionary Physician Who Helped Conquer the Worst Disease in History. New York: Harper One, 2016.
- Carugati, Federica, and Margaret Levi. A Moral Political Economy: Present, Past, and Future. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2021. doi:DOI: 10.1017/9781108872942. https://www.cambridge.org/core/elements/moral-political-economy/744AF3082B448BF0088462DEF93D7DCF.
- Cook, Karen, Russell Hardin, and Margaret Levi. Cooperation without Trust? New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 2005.
- Everett, Jim A. C., Clara Colombatto, Edmond Awad, Paulo Boggio, Björn Bos, William J. Brady, Megha Chawla, et al. “Moral Dilemmas and Trust in Leaders During a Global Health Crisis.” Nature Human Behaviour 5, no. 8 (2021/08/01 2021): 1074-88.
- Grossman, Guy, Soojong Kim, Jonah M. Rexer, and Harsha Thirumurthy. “Political Partisanship Influences Behavioral Responses to Governors’ Recommendations for Covid-19 Prevention in the United States.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117, no. 39 (2020): 24144.
- Hale, Thomas, Noam Angrist, Andrew J. Hale, Beatriz Kira, Saptarshi Majumdar, Anna Petherick, Toby Phillips, et al. “Government Responses and Covid-19 Deaths: Global Evidence across Multiple Pandemic Waves.” PLOS ONE 16, no. 7 (2021): e0253116.
- Jewett, Andrew. “How Americans Came to Distrust Science.” Boston Review (2020).
- Levi, Margaret. “Trustworthy Government, Legitimating Beliefs.” Chap. 12 In Nomos, edited by Jack Knight and Melissa Schwartzberg, 361-82. New York: New York University Press, 2019.
- Levi, Margaret, and Audrey Sacks. “Legitimating Beliefs: Concepts and Measures.” Regulation & Governance 3, no. December (2009)
- O’Leary, John, Sushumna Agarwal, and Angela Welle. “Improving Trust in State and Local Government: Insights from Data.” Deloitte Insights (2021). Published electronically 21 September. https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/industry/public-sector/trust-in-state-local-government.html.
- Pink, Sophia L., James Chu, James N. Druckman, David G. Rand, and Robb Willer. “Elite Party Cues Increase Vaccination Intentions among Republicans.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118, no. 32 (2021): e2106559118.
- Project, World Justice. “Rule of Law Index 2021.” Washington, D.C.: WJP, 2021.
- Schmelz, Katrin. “Enforcement May Crowd out Voluntary Support for Covid-19 Policies, Especially Where Trust in Government Is Weak and in a Liberal Society.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118, no. 1 (2021): e2016385118.
- Schmelz, Katrin, and Samuel Bowles. “Overcoming Covid-19 Vaccination Resistance When Alternative Policies Affect the Dynamics of Conformism, Social Norms, and Crowding Out.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118, no. 25 (2021): e2104912118.
- Singh, Prerna. “State, Society and Vaccines.” In Seminars About Long-Term Thinking, https://longnow.org/seminars/02021/jul/27/state-society-and-vaccines/. San Francisco: Long Now Foundation, 2021.
- Tibbets, John H. “How to Convince People to Accept a Covid-19 Vaccine.” Knowable (2021). Published electronically March 31. https://knowablemagazine.org/article/health-disease/2021/how-to-convince-people-to-accept-covid19-vaccine.
- Tufekci, Zeynep. “The Unvaccinated May Not Be Who Think.” New York Times, 15 October 2021.
- Uslu, Ata, David Lazer, Roy H. Perlis, Matthew Baum, Alexi Quintana, Katherine Ognyanova, James Druckman, et al. The Covid States Project #63: The Decision to Not Get Vaccinated, from the Perspective of the Unvaccinated. OSF Preprints, 2021. doi:10.31219/osf.io/fazup.
- Capano, Giliberto, Michael Howlett, Darryl S.L. Jarvis, M. Ramesh, and Nihit Goyal. 2020. “Mobilizing Policy (In)Capacity to Fight COVID-19: Understanding Variations in State Responses.” Policy and Society, 1–24.
- Forster, Timon and Heinzel, Mirko 2021. “Reacting, fast and slow: how world leaders shaped government responses to the COVID-19 pandemic.” Journal of European Public Policy, Vol. 28, Issue. 8, p. 1299.
- Greer, SL, et al. Coronavirus politics: The comparative politics and policy of COVID-19, University of Michigan Press, 2021.
- Yang, Hai, “Contesting Legitimacy of Global Governance Institutions: The Case of the World Health Organization During the Coronavirus Pandemic.” International Studies Review, 2021.
This event is part of a 6-webinar series
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Image adapted from Yuan Rong Gong on Unsplash